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US Employment: Modest Gains for Jobs & Wages

Sector Analysis: 09 Dec 2018, 9:01 PM ET - Payrolls and wages both took a step back in November.  We highlight this months employment data and discuss the possibility for manufacturing, construction, and mining employment to lead a 2019 deceleration in jobs growth.

US Income & Spending: Strong Start to 4Q Spending

Strategy Analysis: 30 Nov 2018, 4:37 AM ET - October consumer data delivered above expectations with strong real spending, solid income, and soft inflation.  We dig into the details and highlight strong growth in discretionary spending categories.

Consumer Pulse: Holiday Sales Update & More

Sector Analysis: 28 Nov 2018, 4:11 AM ET - Consumer holiday spending viewed through the e-commerce lens looks to be off to a strong start. The consumer economy has a mix of puts and takes, ranging from rising mortgage rates to falling prices at the pump.

Wynn 3Q18: Nothing Golden Can Stay

Earnings Note: 07 Nov 2018, 9:52 PM ET - Wynn Resorts reported weak trends after the October Golden Week, which pressured after-market equity. We are not concerned about the credit at this point, and maintain our Outperform on the Macau bonds. 

US Employment: Almost Full, Keeps Eating

Strategy Analysis: 05 Nov 2018, 5:16 AM ET - Employment growth bounced back in October with a strong 250k print.  Wage growth hit a new high, but its gradual acceleration coupled with the strong job growth trend makes us question what full employment looks like.

US Productivity Is A Small Offset To Labor Costs

Sovereign Analysis: 02 Nov 2018, 5:38 AM ET - We break down 2 separate pieces of 3Q economic data that show while labor costs continue to rise, controlling for productivity growth gives a rosier picture. 

PCE Deflator: Steady in September

Worth Watching: 29 Oct 2018, 10:19 PM ET - PCE Deflator: The September income & outlays report showed another mild month for consumer price gains. The headline all-items index increased by 0.1% MoM, bringing the YoY rate to 2.0%, down from its July peak of 2.3%. The core PCE deflator (e ..

US GDP: Consumers Show Up Again

Strategy Analysis: 29 Oct 2018, 5:06 AM ET - 3Q US GDP beat expectations with a strong performance by the US consumer, inventory growth, and government spending offsetting weak trade, residential investment, and capex.

US Inflation: Consumer Prices Eke Out Another Gain

Strategy Analysis: 11 Oct 2018, 10:35 PM ET - The September consumer price index report showed weaker price gains than expected for the second consecutive month. 

US Strategy: What to Watch for on 3Q Earning Calls

Strategy Analysis: 11 Oct 2018, 4:37 AM ET - We surveyed our analyst teams for key sector level issues they will be paying close attention to with upcoming third quarter earnings calls beyond the typical sales, margins and earnings guidance. 

Wynn Resorts: Marketing New Term Loan B for GCP

Worth Watching: 09 Oct 2018, 10:41 PM ET - Wynn Resorts (Resorts TL: Ba3/ ;Las Vegas Sr Unsec B1/BB-; Macau Sr Unsec B1/B+) is marketing a $400mn term loan B for GCP. Commitments are due October 18 after a Wednesday lender call. We have not seen price talk, but the six-year loan will re ..

US Employment: 3.0% Wage Growth on the Horizon

Strategy Analysis: 05 Oct 2018, 12:24 PM ET - September nonfarm payrolls disappointed on the headline number, but under the surface, the report was solid.  Wages posted another strong gain and are just one tick away from the 3.0% YoY milestone.

US Income & Spending: Consumption Stays On Track

Strategy Analysis: 01 Oct 2018, 6:11 AM ET - The August income & spending report contained another solid reading for consumer spending, continued income growth, and modest inflation. We dig into the pricing environment for a few discretionary spending categories.

US Employment: Finally, A Wage Growth Surprise

Strategy Analysis: 07 Sep 2018, 4:06 PM ET - The August employment report contained the long-awaited breakout in wage growth to a new cycle high. Payroll growth was also solid, and we highlight our outlook for it going forward.

US Income & Spending: Inflation Momentum Fading?

Strategy Analysis: 30 Aug 2018, 2:43 PM ET - July consumer spending and income increased largely as expected, providing a solid start to 3Q spending. The core PCE deflator hit the Fed’s 2.0% target. We highlight that the recent inflation data have cooled some from earlier this year.

Wynn Resorts 2Q18: Weak Results at Macau Flagship

Earnings Note: 03 Aug 2018, 11:08 AM ET - Wynn Resorts (Sr Unsec: B1/BB-) reported 2Q18 revenues of $1.6bn, up 9% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA rose 13.5% to $414mn. We maintain our Underperform recommendation on its Las Vegas debt and Outperform recommendation on its Macau debt. 

Wynn Resorts: Borrows at Retail JV

Worth Watching: 30 Jul 2018, 10:45 PM ET - Wynn Resorts (Resorts: Ba3/BB-) filed a term loan agreement for a new $615mn term loan at its Las Vegas retail entities, Wynn/Ca Plaza Property Owner and Wynn/Ca Property Owner. Recall that in 2016, WYNN sold a 49.9% interest in its retail spac ..

Gaming: Japan Approves 3 Integrated Resorts

Worth Watching: 22 Jul 2018, 9:35 PM ET - Gaming: The Japanese legislature's upper house passed a casino legalization bill, which sets the stage for three integrated resorts. The bill, which had not polled well, has been many years in the making, with the initial phase of legislation pa ..

Consumer/Pharma: Cross-Sector Rel Val Analysis

Sector Analysis: 19 Jul 2018, 4:27 AM ET - In this report, we juxtapose OAS and leverage levels across on-the-run non-cyclical credits in the F&B and Pharma space. M&A has elevated leverage for several names, so we aim to help investors find the best spread while managing risk.

July Beige Book: Tariffs Front & Center

Sector Analysis: 19 Jul 2018, 4:26 AM ET - We parse the July Beige Book for anecdotes on the impact of tariffs. It’s clear they’re contributing to rising input costs across the US.

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