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3M: 3Q18 | Event Risk Brewing?

Worth Watching: 23 Oct 2018, 9:51 PM ET - 3M (A1/AA-) had a downright ugly quarter especially when compared to other Industrial behemoths that were on the screen today including United Technologies and Caterpillar. Reported revenue sank 0.2% $8.15 bn, due primarily to currency, and cam ..

Textron: 3Q18 | Arctic Chill

Worth Watching: 18 Oct 2018, 11:34 PM ET - Textron (Baa2/BBB) saw a truly dismal set of 3Q18 results effectively erase any positive momentum it had generated coming off a strong second quarter performance. The firm recorded top and bottom line declines, although it did reaffirm guidance ..

Industrials 2Q18 Review: Tariffs Tame for Now

Sector Analysis: 07 Aug 2018, 4:43 AM ET - It was a strong 2Q18 earnings season for our Industrial credits. We share the salient takeaways and touch on hot button topics such as end-market trends, tariffs and event risk.

July 2018 US Company Recommendation Changes

US Company Recommendation Changes: 31 Jul 2018, 9:39 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the thirty-nine company recommendation changes made on North American companies during the month of July.

Textron: 2Q18 | Shifting to Outperform

Worth Watching: 18 Jul 2018, 1:17 PM ET - Textron (Baa2/BBB) has kicked off earnings season for the Industrials on a high note. The firm reported results that came in ahead of expectations, margins expanded, and management went on to lift full-year guidance too. Second quarter sales to ..

US Industrials: Macro Data Points

Sector Analysis: 12 Jun 2018, 1:59 AM ET - In this report, we tied the positive tone from Industrial management teams to select economic data points.

Textron: EPG Conference Highlights

Worth Watching: 07 Jun 2018, 2:35 PM ET - Textron (Baa2/BBB): In addition to discussing key macro takeaways from the EPG conference at the end of May and featuring more than fifteen other Industrial credits in our sector report, we highlight color specifically from TXT. CEO Scot ..

US Industrials: EPG Conference | Macro to Micro

Sector Analysis: 29 May 2018, 4:47 AM ET - We attended the 3-day Electrical Products Group conference in FL last week, which featured a host of Industrial firms. The macro and end-market tone was distinctly positive.  In this report we highlight key takeaways on over 15 credits.

April 2018 US Company Recommendation Changes

US Company Recommendation Changes: 30 Apr 2018, 9:22 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the twenty-six company recommendation changes made on North American companies during the month of April.

Textron: Sells Tools to EMR ($810 m) | Shift to MP

Worth Watching: 18 Apr 2018, 1:51 PM ET - Textron (Baa2/BBB) reported dramatically better than expected first quarter results and announced plans to sell its Tools & Test business to Emerson Electric (A2/A) with the news lifting the firm's stock around 8% intra-day. Textron reported 1Q ..

United Technologies Scenarios: United to Divided?

Company Spotlight: 16 Apr 2018, 4:15 AM ET - We see a modest multiple expansion opportunity if management does go down the break-up route and while there is also a case whereby the SpinCos could have IG ratings, we would not rule out seeing the Climate division move into HY territory.

US Cap Goods: Event Risk = Sector Underperformance

IG Note: 21 Mar 2018, 5:23 AM ET - The Capital Goods Index has been the worst performing sector on an excess return basis year-to-date. Sector returns severely lagged the Index in January with GE and UTX being notable underperformers to date.

JCI: Power Solutions in Play

IG Note: 12 Mar 2018, 9:44 PM ET - We had been flagging JCI as a credit with high event risk. Now JCI is joining other Industrials under pressure by putting Power Solutions under strategic review. We maintain our Underperform until we obtain more capital structure clarity.

Honeywell: Capital Allocation Update

IG Note: 06 Mar 2018, 8:18 PM ET - The message from HON's Investor Day last week was that capital will be allocated in a prudent manner. However, we remain guarded on the credit at current levels with a “new” CEO legacy building and there being an activist in the scene.

US Strategy: Tariffs as Repricing Event?

Strategy Analysis: 01 Mar 2018, 9:40 PM ET - The market has been building in very low odds of a trade war event, a NAFTA withdrawal, or a significant escalation of tit-for-tat trade retaliations on a broader scale.  The odds-makers just got a fresh load of input.

Section 232: The NAFTA Conundrum

Sector Analysis: 26 Feb 2018, 3:42 AM ET - Using Section 232 on Steel/Aluminum could damage supplier chains and cost structures and drive broader inflation.  A tariff gambit in such key industries could undermine the NAFTA negotiations and have immediate effects on risk pricing. 

United Technologies: Break-Up Concerns Validated

IG Note: 21 Feb 2018, 7:03 PM ET - For several years we have highlighted that there was break-up risk at United Technologies and at the Barclay’s Industrial conference, management legitimized that concern.

US Industrial 2018 Outlook: Conglomerate Conundrum

Sector Analysis: 21 Jan 2018, 9:58 PM ET - Against the backdrop of a generally favorable global demand environment, event risk is the key 2018 credit concern for the conglomerate peer group. We focus on this topic and revisit our credit recommendations for more than two dozen firms.

Dover: Risks Ratings with Spin-off Route

Worth Watching: 07 Dec 2017, 9:28 PM ET - Dover (A3/A-) placed its upstream Oil & Gas business, Wellsite under strategic review back in September and today we learned that the firm is going the spin-off route. This trend has been picking up steam across the US Industrials with recent e ..

GE: Early Innings of a Long Game

IG Note: 13 Nov 2017, 10:50 PM ET - Encouraging for bondholders was seeing the dividend cut and hearing A1/P1 ratings being a target, but at this juncture we do not take such ambitions at face value and maintain our Underperform on the credit.

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