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Focused

China Property 2019: Worse Before Getting Better

Sector Outlook: 13 Dec 2018, 10:30 PM ET - We think that the Chinese property sector is likely to slow down at a controlled pace next year. We maintain our defensive stance, and recommend investors to hold the Chinese BBB, BB, and selective single B, short-dated developers.

Asian High Yield Outlook: 8 Themes for 2019

Strategy Analysis: 11 Dec 2018, 9:12 PM ET - 1) Easing $ supply risk. 2) China onshore funding. 3) Fundamental credit headwinds. 4) Rising funding costs.  5) Equity volatility and share-backed financing.  6) Elections in India and Indonesia.  7) LGFV refinancing. 8) China slowdown. 

Indonesia Property: 2019 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Dec 2018, 5:19 AM ET - We take a look at the key drivers that would shape the course of Indonesian property heading into 2019. We provide the credit outlook for Indonesian property for 2019 and the recommendations for the individual companies.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: December 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Dec 2018, 4:09 AM ET - New initiations this month include Agile 2020, KWG 2020, and China State Construction International perp with Market perform. Downgrades include Everre 6.25% 2021, H&H 2021 and Vedanta 2023 from Market perform to Underperform.

Asia Weekly: All Eyes on G20 Summit

Asia Weekly: 30 Nov 2018, 4:45 AM ET - The market will be watching the G20 Buenos Aires summit closely today and tomorrow if trade tensions between US and China ease or escalate. Chinese property developers outperformed across the credit spectrum.
Focused

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 3 December 2018

Strategy Analysis: 29 Nov 2018, 10:59 PM ET - Shinmao Property will host its 2-day Reverse Roadshow this week. Economic releases from Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea and the United States are also due this week. 
Focused

Sunac: Proposed Retap of Sunac 8.625% 2020 at 9.5%

Worth Watching: 28 Nov 2018, 10:29 PM ET - Sunac China ("Sunac"; Bond Ratings: B/B2/BB-) proposed a retap of its $400 mn Sunac 8.625% July-2020 at an initial price target (IPT) of 9.5%. Even though the existing July-2020s traded at a YTW of 8.9% at the time of writing, the August-2020s whi ..

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 2018 Interim Edition

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 27 Nov 2018, 3:30 AM ET - The Asia High Yield Snapshot summarises the key credit metrics, cash flow trends, profitability and other financial indicators of Asian high yield $ bond issuers. This edition is updated for 2018 interim figures. 

Foshan Trip Notes October 2018: Spillover Demand

Site Visits: 25 Nov 2018, 11:57 PM ET - Compared to the other Tier-1 cities we visited, the housing and credit policies in Foshan were far more relaxed.  It is no wonder that some non-natives in Guangzhou have chosen to buy homes in Foshan instead. 

Shenzhen Trip Notes October 2018: Too Expensive!

Site Visits: 21 Nov 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Shenzhen homes are extremely expensive.  The LTM Cost/Income multiple as of September 2018 was 43.2x (National average: 9.9x), indicating that new homes in Shenzhen are significantly less affordable than most places in China.

China Property Sector: PBOC’s Take On Sector

Sector Analysis: 09 Nov 2018, 3:12 AM ET - Is the China property sector risky in the eyes of the People's Bank of China ("PBOC")?

Asia Weekly: Evergrande, Ever So Grand

Asia Weekly: 02 Nov 2018, 3:49 AM ET - Evergrande came to market with a 3-tranched jumbo-sized issue of $1.8 bn, which led to a sell-off in Chinese real estate bonds. The existing Evergrande 23s and 24s fell close to 7 points this week.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: November 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Nov 2018, 4:38 AM ET - We lowered our recommendation on Anton Oilfield 2020 to Market perform. However, we upgraded our recommendations on a number of Chinese property bond issues and  initiated on the new Evergrande 2020 with an Outperform recommendation.

October 2018 Asian Company Recommendation Changes

Asian Company Recommendation Changes: 31 Oct 2018, 10:02 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the two company recommendation changes made on Asian companies during the month of October.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Macros in Pictures

China Property Navigator: 12 Oct 2018, 4:04 AM ET - This report marks the end of our China Property Navigator 3Q18 series. Developers appear to be shifting their land bank expansion focus to out of China's top 40 cities.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Bond Supply

China Property Navigator: 11 Oct 2018, 3:23 AM ET - This report is part 4 of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. The domestic public corporate bond market seems to be re-opening quietly. Supply risk from the China property sector is also expected to moderate in 4Q18.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Relative Ranking

China Property Navigator: 10 Oct 2018, 12:38 AM ET - This is the 3rd part of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. We ranked the 13 Chinese developers under our full coverage and upgraded our recommendations on a number of bond issues.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: 1H18 Results Wrap

China Property Navigator: 09 Oct 2018, 3:54 AM ET - We summarize the LTM to 1H18 results of the Chinese developers under our coverage in this report and highlight broad trends in 1H18. This report is the 2nd part of a 5-part series.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 08 Oct 2018, 1:55 AM ET - Local governments continued fine-tuning existing housing policies for their respective cities in 3Q18. Tighter resale restrictions and HPRs were rolled out even at the county-level.

Asia Credit: New York City Investor Meetings

Strategy Analysis: 03 Oct 2018, 12:13 AM ET - Our Asia corporate analysts spent two days meeting investors in New York earlier this month. We met a mix of investor types, including US and non-US based asset managers, investment advisers, investment banks, hedge funds and private banks.

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