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IG European Consumer: 2019 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2018, 9:03 PM ET - We set out more on our six opinion changes in European food & beverage/HPC and retail for 2019, plus the initiation of Molson Coors, and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.
Focused

Pizza Express 3Q18: Deep Pan Pizza

Earnings Note: 27 Nov 2018, 9:01 PM ET - There was nothing in 3Q to change our negative view with further UK margin erosion expected in '19 and China in freefall. Vague statements re: Hony and the capital structure were unhelpfully left open to interpretation; we remain wary.

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.

September 2018 Euro Company Recommendation Changes

Euro Recommendation Changes: 30 Sep 2018, 9:26 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the eleven companies recommendation changes made on European companies during the month of September.
Focused

Pizza Express F2Q18: Slow Boat to China

Earnings Note: 02 Sep 2018, 11:48 PM ET - The implosion of International has been a big shock. The UK is suffering, but at least, not falling over. Management are determined to press ahead despite admitting that they do not have a good handle on the Chinese market. Why?

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 

IDH (MyDentist) FY18: Will This Pain Ever End?

Earnings Note: 08 Jul 2018, 9:25 PM ET - The past year was challenging for IDH to say the least, with lower NHS revenues and a decline in profitability. However, the new management has made progress in hiring new dentists, and is guiding for improvement in performance this year. 

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 

Euro HY Conference 2018: Food & Dining

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:20 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Food & Dining presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which we looked at the underlying fundamentals of a highly idiosyncratic space.

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.
Focused

Pizza Express 4Q17 & 1Q18: Leggero

Earnings Note: 01 May 2018, 10:46 PM ET - We were not massively optimistic going into numbers because of the snow disrupted 1Q18 and UK casual dining carnage. However, it was International that proved more worrisome with an unexpected stalling of growth. We investigate. 

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

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