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IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.
Focused

Picard F1Q18/19: Spring Thaw

Earnings Note: 04 Sep 2018, 8:28 PM ET - Easter timing hit LFLs and shareholder uncertainty remains even after several bouts of dividend activity, but despite a cautious outlook, the summer trading update and solidity in margins keeps us sanguine. 

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 
Focused

Picard F4Q18 & FY18: Tap Dance

Earnings Note: 04 Jul 2018, 9:35 PM ET - As cheek goes, the €60 mn tap to fund a dividend 5 months after the €110 mn dividend at refi, is up there. Leverage is now high albeit operations remain solid. Yields of 3.4% and 6.6% are tight but Picard remains a buy-on-weakness favourite

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 

Euro HY Conference 2018: Food & Dining

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:20 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Food & Dining presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which we looked at the underlying fundamentals of a highly idiosyncratic space.

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  
Focused

Picard: F3Q18 - A Moment on the Lips...

Worth Watching: 09 Mar 2018, 2:14 PM ET - Picard (FRN B2/B+; SN Caa1/B-) reported its first set of numbers after its December 2017 €1.54 bn dual-tranche deal to refi its structure through the HoldCo, pay out a dividend and redeem PIK notes. With the new PICSUR FRN 23s (B2/B+) trading we ..

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

2017 Euro Conference: High Yield RV Panel

Transcript: 14 Dec 2017, 5:59 PM ET - We provide the transcript from the high yield relative value panel at our 2017 European Conference, highlighting key credits across the Consumer, Banks, Construction, Building Materials, Services and TMT sectors.

IG European Consumer: 2018 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2017, 9:29 PM ET - We set out more on our five opinion changes in European food & beverage and retail for 2018 and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

2017 Euro Conference: IG Consumer

Transcript: 11 Dec 2017, 8:47 PM ET - We spoke about our outlook for our high grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail names in 2018, the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 8 space mission.

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