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US Banks: Libor Risk in Preferred Stock

Sector Analysis: 13 Dec 2018, 6:02 AM ET - The scheduled decommissioning of Libor would impact $108 bn of variable-rate preferred stock in our US bank coverage. The most common impact would be to convert floaters into fixed-rate prefs, but our main concern is Citi prefs.

Euro Financial Movers: Stressing The Positives

Euro Financial Movers: 02 Dec 2018, 10:07 PM ET - The Bank of England's stress test results, more money laundering problems for Danske Bank and Deutsche Bank, HSH Nordbank's Tier 1 termination, Axa's deleveraging, and the effect of S&P's rating methodology change on insurance hybrids.

US Banks: A Glance at Impact of Mid-term Elections

Sector Analysis: 15 Nov 2018, 5:14 AM ET - We explore the impact of mid-term elections in the US on banks. The rollback from legislation is likely to end (ex-bipartisan initiatives). Regulators still have leeway to alter requirements/details, and we see more hearings on the horizon.

U.S. Regional Banks: Fed Guidance on 2019 CCAR

Worth Watching: 14 Nov 2018, 10:27 PM ET - U.S. Regional Banks: In a recent speech, the Fed's Vice Chairman of Bank Supervision Randal Quarles commented on plans for the upcoming CCAR cycle. The Fed is in the process of deciding  how to implement a number of changes that have been proposed ..

US Banks Conf. Notes: Big Data + Digital Divide

Sector Analysis: 13 Nov 2018, 4:14 AM ET - We attended BancAnalysts Association of Boston (BAAB) conference in Boston, where 10 banks in our coverage presented. One of the main takeaways was the capabilities that the big money centers have built around data analytics.

US Banks: Fed Proposes Reg. Overhaul for Non-GSIBs

Sector Analysis: 01 Nov 2018, 5:30 AM ET - The Federal Reserve released two Notices of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRs) to revise capital and liquidity requirements for banks $100 - 700 bn in assets. Certain requirements for the 8 GSIBs were addressed in a separate NPR.

US Strategy: What to Watch for on 3Q Earning Calls

Strategy Analysis: 11 Oct 2018, 4:37 AM ET - We surveyed our analyst teams for key sector level issues they will be paying close attention to with upcoming third quarter earnings calls beyond the typical sales, margins and earnings guidance. 

US Banks: 3Q18 Preview - Reg. Oversight & Funding

Sector Analysis: 10 Oct 2018, 9:08 PM ET - Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and PNC kick off U.S. bank earnings on Friday. We will be paying close attention to funding costs as well as commentary on lending standards reflecting the possible easing of regulatory oversight.

US Banks: Emerging Markets Exposure

Sector Analysis: 11 Sep 2018, 5:55 AM ET - We review the exposure of US banks to emerging economies as they experience a number of challenges ranging from geopolitical issues to trade-related concerns to rising current account deficits.

Register Now: 2018 Global Financials Seminars

Announcement: 10 Sep 2018, 9:51 PM ET - Register for our upcoming fifth annual Global Financials Seminars.

US Financials: Turkish Delights (Exposures)

Sector Analysis: 13 Aug 2018, 4:14 AM ET - Given ongoing turmoil associated with Turkey, we outline exposure to that country for US financials. In short, direct exposure tends to be immaterial. Turkey is not a major market for US banks, while insurers have modest exposure, if any.

Interplay Between US Banks & Fed's Balance Sheet

Sector Analysis: 08 Aug 2018, 5:36 AM ET - In this note, we discuss the impacts of the Fed's balance sheet unwind on banks. We expect that U.S. banks will become the "natural buyers" of U.S. Treasuries not bought by the Fed, offsetting the impact on rates.

HK/SG Conference 2018: US Banks

Transcript: 06 Aug 2018, 9:39 AM ET - We recently presented on US Banks as part of the Hong  Kong and Singapore conference series. 

US Banks 2Q18: Earnings Rise, Supervision Slides

Sector Analysis: 25 Jul 2018, 4:22 AM ET - Seventeen of the 22 banks in our coverage beat expectations in 2Q18 as earnings improved due to higher rates and a benign credit environment. However, post-crisis regulatory safeguards are been chipped away at.

US Banks: 2Q18 Preview - Loan Demand Picking Up?

Sector Analysis: 11 Jul 2018, 5:05 AM ET - Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and PNC kick off 2Q18 US bank earnings on Friday, July 13, 2018. We expect underlying results to benefit from a pickup in loan growth and higher rates, but capital markets results should be down from 1Q18.

US Banks: Update to 2018 Debt Supply Forecast

Sector Analysis: 09 Jul 2018, 5:49 AM ET - Following a review of 1H18 debt supply, we are increasing our supply forecast for the full year for the banks in our coverage universe. The majority of the increase reflects increased expectations for OpCo debt from the GSIBs.

US Banks: 2018 CCAR - It's OK to Breach Limits?

Sector Analysis: 29 Jun 2018, 5:15 AM ET - The Fed released the 2018 CCAR results. It did not object to the capital plans of 34 of the 35 banks, the exception being DB USA, Deutsche Bank's IHC. The Fed did not force a number of banks that fell below the minimums to raise capital.

US Banks: Post-DFAST Stress Capital Buffers

Sector Analysis: 27 Jun 2018, 4:39 AM ET - We update our Stress Capital Buffer (SCB) estimates for the large U.S. banks using 2018 DFAST results. Nearly all the banks face higher spot capital requirements due to the increased severity of the 2018 DFAST.

US Banks: 2018 DFAST Results - SCB Shocker Looming

Sector Analysis: 22 Jun 2018, 4:56 AM ET - Although all banks over $100 bn in assets received a clean bill of health in the 2018 DFAST, our main concern is that this year’s test could lead to a substantial increase in capital requirements under the proposed Stress Capital Buffer.

US GSIBs: 2019 Systemic Importance Scores/Buffers

Sector Analysis: 29 May 2018, 4:52 AM ET - We estimate the 2019 Global Systemically Important Bank (GSIB) surcharges for U.S. banks. The 2019 surcharges are calculated using YE17 data and systemic indicator coefficients updated as of December 2017.

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