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Transcript: 2018 IG & Crossover Conf-Basics Panel

Transcript: 11 Dec 2018, 5:51 AM ET - We present a transcript of the Basic Industries Panel discussion given at the CreditSights Investment Grade & Crossover conference on December 4, 2018.
Focused

OCI 3Q18: And They Did It Again

Earnings Note: 19 Nov 2018, 10:25 PM ET - OCI reported another strong quarter despite some maintenance shutdowns and the seasonally slower summer months. In addition, management expects a significant improvement in 4Q18 on continued production ramp-up and higher pricing. 

Air Liquide: 3Q18 Revenue Update

Worth Watching: 25 Oct 2018, 8:25 AM ET - Air Liquide (A3/A-) had released its 3Q18 revenues update on Wednesday, October 24. Reported sales were up 6.6% YoY at €5.27 bn while comparable sales were up 6.0% YoY after accounting for a negative currency impact (-1.2%) on the back of a stro ..

LIN/PX Merger: Conditional Approval from the FTC

Worth Watching: 22 Oct 2018, 10:22 PM ET - LIN/PX Merger Update: The FTC has granted a conditional approval for the Linde/Praxair merger subject to further asset divestitures. In addition to the assets Linde had already agreed to divest in July 2018, the FTC requires the sale of furthe ..

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.

US Strategy: What to Watch for on 3Q Earning Calls

Strategy Analysis: 11 Oct 2018, 4:37 AM ET - We surveyed our analyst teams for key sector level issues they will be paying close attention to with upcoming third quarter earnings calls beyond the typical sales, margins and earnings guidance. 
Focused

OCI 2Q18: Solid Quarter; More Upside to Come

Earnings Note: 03 Sep 2018, 9:04 PM ET - We maintain our Outperform recommendation on OCI credit following another strong quarter results and a continued positive outlook.

K+S: Not Worth (Your) Salt

Company Spotlight: 05 Jun 2018, 9:46 PM ET - We assign an Underperform recommendation on the K+S credit and its EUR notes. We believe investors can find better value in other similarly-rated chemicals names without the associated event risks and a clearer near-term outlook. 

Italy Assessing the Risks: Part 2 - Non-Financials

Sector Analysis: 31 May 2018, 10:24 PM ET - In the second part of our series on the impact of Italian political uncertainty on the country's investment grade and high yield credits we take a look at non-financial corporates.
Focused

OCI 1Q18: Turnaround in Progress

Earnings Note: 13 May 2018, 11:52 PM ET - OCI posted a strong 1Q18 which is in line with our expectation of a positive turnaround in OCI's credit story in 2018. Accordingly, we maintain our Outperform recommendation on OCI's USD and EUR notes. 

Basic Industries: 1Q18 In Review and a Look Ahead

Sector Analysis: 17 Apr 2018, 4:12 AM ET - We review the performance of the Basic Industries sector  YTD, comparing themes in our outlook with actual developments. We also talk about unexpected developments, and what we think will shape the balance of the year. 
Focused

OCI Initiation Part II – Positioning the Euros

Company Spotlight: 16 Apr 2018, 11:56 PM ET - In this second part of our initiation piece on OCI we summarise our credit views, focus on the European tranche and discuss our Relative Value thoughts.
Focused

OCI: Assessing New Cross-Currency Issue: Part I

Company Spotlight: 16 Apr 2018, 4:05 PM ET - We are buyers of the OCI dollar tranche  at 7.25% but would pass inside 7%. We are encouraged by its strong 2H17 results, and we are cautiously optimistic credit metrics will improve in 2018 as capex declines and adjusted EBITDA grows. 

Bayer: EC Approves Monsanto Deal, DOJ Remains

Worth Watching: 22 Mar 2018, 10:07 PM ET - Bayer 's (A3/A-) $66 bn acquisition of Monsanto (A3/BBB) was conditionally approved by the European Commission on Wednesday. The regulator's concerns surrounding competition and innovation following the merger seem to have been successfully addr ..

Tronox: EU Pauses Review of Cristal Merger

HY Note: 28 Feb 2018, 4:52 AM ET - The EU Commission paused its review of the Tronox/Cristal merger until it receives additional information from the two companies.  Although some may be alarmed, it is a fairly regular component of the EU Phase 2 process.

Section 232: The NAFTA Conundrum

Sector Analysis: 26 Feb 2018, 3:42 AM ET - Using Section 232 on Steel/Aluminum could damage supplier chains and cost structures and drive broader inflation.  A tariff gambit in such key industries could undermine the NAFTA negotiations and have immediate effects on risk pricing. 

Chemicals Outlook 2018 (Part 6): Petrochemicals

Sector Outlook: 01 Feb 2018, 4:07 AM ET - A significant amount of ethylene derivative capacity is expected to continue to come online throughout 2018, pressuring prices and margins. Companies will attempt to counter the incoming capacity headwinds with rising plant utilization.

Chemicals 2018 Outlook (Part 5): Chlor-Alkali

Sector Outlook: 25 Jan 2018, 10:35 PM ET - With investment in chlor-alkali capacity effectively non-existent and positive manufacturing and construction trends around the globe, we expect operating rates around the world to rise in the medium term. 

Chemicals 2018 Outlook (Part 4): Fertilizers

Sector Outlook: 24 Jan 2018, 11:05 AM ET - The fertilizers' industry remains oversupplied and we expect the trend to persist over the next twelve months. Stable prices are expected as new capacity is coupled with supply management.

Chemicals 2018 Outlook (Part 3): Industrial Gases

Sector Outlook: 21 Jan 2018, 10:14 PM ET - Improving PMI trends not only in North America, but also globally, bode well for Industrial Gas demand in 2018 and will perhaps help mark an end to the protracted period of decline in gas project backlogs.

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