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IG European Consumer: 2019 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2018, 9:03 PM ET - We set out more on our six opinion changes in European food & beverage/HPC and retail for 2019, plus the initiation of Molson Coors, and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.
Focused

Safety BBlanket: Euro BBs for a Risk-off Market

HY Note: 05 Dec 2018, 10:36 PM ET - Against a backdrop of an increasingly risk-off environment, we highlight a selection of BB picks for investors shifting towards a more defensive positioning.

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.
Focused

Ocado: F3Q18 - Keeps Delivering

Worth Watching: 18 Sep 2018, 6:19 PM ET - Ocado 's F3Q18 Trading Statement was released yesterday and we are happy to see more of the same from the UK online only supermarket. Headline numbers for the 13 weeks to September 2nd, 2018 show sales at its retail division up 11.5% YoY to £348.6 ..

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 
Focused

OCADO 1H18: Honey, I Shrunk the Bonds

Worth Watching: 10 Jul 2018, 9:35 PM ET - OCADO 1H18  's presentation dedicated barely 5 out of the full 75 minutes of the call to the mundanities of financial performance. Paired with the fact that the bonds now represents a token 3.5% of the total capitalization this suggests two thin ..

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  
Focused

Ocado: F1Q18 Sales Update – In All Weathers

Worth Watching: 20 Mar 2018, 11:19 AM ET - Ocado (Ba3/BB), where we have a Buy recommendation, reported F1Q18 retail sales up 11.7% YoY despite the "Beast from the East" undermining an equivalent 1 pp of growth in only one week of trading as orders fulfilled dropped by tens of thousands ..
Focused

Ocado FY17: If You Build It....

Earnings Note: 06 Feb 2018, 1:55 PM ET - The impact of its new international partnerships in its solutions business on investment and margins marked FY18 numbers. Herein, we reiterate the rationale for our positive view despite growing investment needs. 

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

IG European Consumer: 2018 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2017, 9:29 PM ET - We set out more on our five opinion changes in European food & beverage and retail for 2018 and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

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