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ESG and Automotive: Ratings and Methodology

Sector Analysis: 14 Nov 2018, 10:23 PM ET - In this piece we discuss our ESG Ratings framework as it pertains to the Automotive sector. We use a total of 13 distinct measures to score each of the 3 ESG parameters and then weight them individually.

China Autos: Slowing Demand Concerns

Sector Analysis: 18 Oct 2018, 7:02 AM ET - September passenger vehicle sales in China marked the third consecutive month of YoY declines. While YTD sales are still up 0.4%, 2018 is already shaping up to be the weakest growth year for the critical China automotive industry. 

Autoliv: 2Q18 | Moving Forward

Worth Watching: 30 Jul 2018, 12:27 PM ET - Autoliv (A2/A-) reported steady growth in its second quarter despite rising raw material prices against the backdrop of rising trade tensions. Consolidated sales grew 11.5% to $2.2 bn, driven by a 4.2% positive impact stemming from currency tra ..

American Honda Finance: Attractive New Issue

IG Note: 11 Jul 2018, 10:45 AM ET - American Honda Finance is in the market with 2Y floating as well as 2Y and 5Y fixed offerings. We  would view any new issue concession as an opportunity for investors to gain exposure to this high quality captive finance company.

Toyota Motor Corp: Multi-Tranche Issuance

IG Note: 10 Jul 2018, 11:55 AM ET - Toyota Motor Corp (parent) is in the market this morning with 3Y, 5Y and 10Y fixed offerings. We remain at an underperfom on Toyota family bonds, but would view a +5 bp concession to secondary as attractive.

Toyota Motor Credit: Buy New Issue

IG Note: 10 Apr 2018, 9:53 AM ET - Toyota Motor Credit is in the market this morning with 3Y FRNs as well as 3Y and 7Y fixed offerings.We are at an underperform on the credit based on valuation but would view any new issue concession as an opportunity to add exposure.

US Strategy: Tariffs as Repricing Event?

Strategy Analysis: 01 Mar 2018, 9:40 PM ET - The market has been building in very low odds of a trade war event, a NAFTA withdrawal, or a significant escalation of tit-for-tat trade retaliations on a broader scale.  The odds-makers just got a fresh load of input.

US IG Autos 2018: Underperform

Sector Analysis: 24 Jan 2018, 4:13 AM ET - Given the short duration bias of the Auto Index relative to the IG Index we expect it will underperform again in 2018. We are taking a more nuanced view and expect GM and F long paper to outperform the ML Index at the long end of the curve.

Euro Autos: 2018 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 17 Jan 2018, 9:52 PM ET - In this report we review our outlook for the automotive market in 2018, discuss long term trends and short term implications, and update our investment recommendations.

US Strategy: South Korea Trade Risk

Strategy Analysis: 09 Jan 2018, 11:12 PM ET - While the NAFTA countdown and China trade strategy are the main events, South Korea is now moving back onto the stove even if not on the front burner. We look at some of the moving parts of the US-ROK free trade risks.

May US Auto Sales: First Look

IG Note: 01 Jun 2017, 11:06 AM ET - As the first wave of May auto sales are reported by automakers, we expect that YoY industry sales will continue to moderate while SAAR will likely settle in the under 17 mn level for the third consecutive month.

European Autos: 2017 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 30 Jan 2017, 10:21 PM ET - In this report, we take a look at the current trends in the European automotive market, review our outlook for the sector and update our investment recommendations within the European automotive space.

US Autos 2017: Cyclical Pause – Structural Risks

Sector Analysis: 26 Jan 2017, 4:07 AM ET - Auto sector risk reward symmetry is currently unattractive as the sector positions itself for moderating cyclical volumes. Handicapping trade policy risk and planning for a tech-intensive future remain primary industry concerns.

Toyota Corolla - Tweets vs. Facts

IG Note: 05 Jan 2017, 5:33 PM ET - President-Elect Trump's rhetoric on bringing back US manufacturing jobs has focused on the auto sector this week with his latest jab targeting Toyota. The import tax threat has already been delivered with some success to Ford and GM. 

US Strategy: Import Tax Pain Ahead?

Strategy Analysis: 03 Jan 2017, 11:03 PM ET - We look at some risks of corporate tax proposals tied to "border adjustments" (i.e. import taxes). Economist advocates make major assumptions on currencies and ignore the wildcard of "behavior" and potential responses to the policies.

CreditSights 12th Annual European Conference

Announcement: 29 Nov 2016, 8:54 PM ET - Download our Conference Mobile App for our upcoming event on Friday 9th December 2016.

US-Japan Trade: New Day, Same Old Deficit

Sector Analysis: 22 Nov 2016, 11:13 PM ET - The Japan trade deficit is a tradition across decades of GOP/Dem leadership with the flow of goods still led by cars/parts (imports) and planes/parts (exports). Yen weakness is hard to complain about when the UST curve is driving it.     

US-China Trade: A Beautiful Mine

Strategy Analysis: 21 Nov 2016, 9:56 PM ET - The game theory of US-China trade negotiations will need two sides to at least be playing the same game. Manufacturing and tech is big in US-China deficit politics, and costs would be high in the event it ends badly. 

China Autos: Tax Cut Drives 1H Sales

Sector Analysis: 20 Jul 2016, 11:54 PM ET - 1H16 auto sales in China have performed better than expected with total sales up 8% YoY benefiting from purchase tax reduction on <1.6L engine vehicles, which is scheduled to expire  Dec 16.

China Autos 2016 Outlook: Incentive Led Growth

Sector Outlook: 14 Jan 2016, 6:38 PM ET - China remains the world’s largest light vehicle market accounting for nearly 27% of global sales. The recent consumer purchase tax cut is expected to continue to keep demand healthy through end of 2016 to yet another record year for sales. 

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