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IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.
Focused

Iceland F2Q19: Capex Is Not Just For Christmas

HY Note: 23 Oct 2018, 9:50 PM ET - Not enough in F2Q19 to generate positive conviction, albeit the result was as indicated by management last-Q. They continue to execute the plan although the soft market is complicating the outlook. And Sir Malcolm is taking a back seat.

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.

August 2018 Europe Company Recommendation Changes

Euro Recommendation Changes: 02 Sep 2018, 9:49 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the fourteen companies recommendation changes made on European companies during the month of August.
Focused

Iceland Food F1Q19: Chilly

Earnings Note: 15 Aug 2018, 9:56 PM ET - The 4Q18 recovery post the weak 3Q proved short-lived; 1Q EBITDA had been guided down but the magnitude and the sizeable cash flow reversal caught us by surprise.  We remain constructive long term, but doubt bonds can outperform near term.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.
Focused

Iceland Foods 4Q & FY18: What it Says on the Tin

Earnings Note: 18 Jun 2018, 9:44 PM ET - Iceland's 4Q results made up for a horrible 3Q after a series of self-inflicted mishaps. Although 1H19 guidance came on the soft side, a strong track record of cash generation is argument enough to keep our Buy recommendation.

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  

February 2018 Europe Company Recommendation Change

Euro Recommendation Changes: 28 Feb 2018, 11:31 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the twenty-one companies recommendation changes made on European companies during the month of February.
Focused

Iceland Foods F3Q18: Sleeping Beauty

Earnings Note: 15 Feb 2018, 9:32 PM ET - Iceland reported a weak set of results although attention was quickly shifted to full year guidance to calm investor sentiment. With mistakes from 3Q addressed and current trading showing a recovery, we see enough arguments to shift our rec

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

IG European Consumer: 2018 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2017, 9:29 PM ET - We set out more on our five opinion changes in European food & beverage and retail for 2018 and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

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