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Humana

Humana is a health insurer and supplemental benefits company which provides full-service benefits and wellness solutions, as well as health, pharmacy and supplemental benefits products to customers throughout the United States. The company is a leader in the Medicare Advantage segment and also administers managed care plans for other government programs, such as TRICARE. Humana announced its intentions to exit public exchanges after reporting a series of losses associated with the business. (12 Sep 2018)

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US Employment: Modest Gains for Jobs & Wages

Sector Analysis: 09 Dec 2018, 9:01 PM ET - Payrolls and wages both took a step back in November.  We highlight this months employment data and discuss the possibility for manufacturing, construction, and mining employment to lead a 2019 deceleration in jobs growth.

Transcript: US Insurers & The Rate Environment

Transcript: 04 Dec 2018, 9:15 PM ET - This note provides the slides and transcript for the U.S. insurance presentation given at the CreditSights IG and Crossover conference on December 4, 2018. A download link to the slides is provided in the note.

Euro Financial Movers: Stressing The Positives

Euro Financial Movers: 02 Dec 2018, 10:07 PM ET - The Bank of England's stress test results, more money laundering problems for Danske Bank and Deutsche Bank, HSH Nordbank's Tier 1 termination, Axa's deleveraging, and the effect of S&P's rating methodology change on insurance hybrids.

US Income & Spending: Strong Start to 4Q Spending

Strategy Analysis: 30 Nov 2018, 4:37 AM ET - October consumer data delivered above expectations with strong real spending, solid income, and soft inflation.  We dig into the details and highlight strong growth in discretionary spending categories.

Consumer Pulse: Holiday Sales Update & More

Sector Analysis: 28 Nov 2018, 4:11 AM ET - Consumer holiday spending viewed through the e-commerce lens looks to be off to a strong start. The consumer economy has a mix of puts and takes, ranging from rising mortgage rates to falling prices at the pump.

U.S. Insurance: $11+bn in Total GE Exposure

Sector Analysis: 26 Nov 2018, 5:14 AM ET - In this note we highlight U.S. insurer exposure to GE. AIG, State Farm, GE’s own insurance operation, Aegon, Lincoln Financial, Aflac, and Prudential are all in the top-10.

Healthcare: 3Q18 Earnings Recap

Sector Analysis: 25 Nov 2018, 11:27 PM ET - In this note, we recap 3Q18 earnings results for the health insurers, medical device makers and pharmaceutical companies within our IG coverage universe.
Focused

Humana/Walgreens: Signing on for an Open Marriage?

IG Note: 21 Nov 2018, 5:50 AM ET - Reports suggest that HUM and WBA are considering acquiring stakes in each other. A partnership could have significant strategic merits, and can been seen as a defensive play to the pending CVS-AET deal.

Transcript: How will IFRS 17 & 9 Affect Insurers?

Transcript: 20 Nov 2018, 9:16 PM ET - Together with our guest speaker, Mr Darrel Scott - IASB Board Member, we present the takeaways of IFRS 17 & 9 and discuss their consequences on the financial analysis of insurers. The audio link will allow you to listen the webinar.

Webinar: How will IFRS 17 & 9 Affect Insurers?

Announcement: 19 Nov 2018, 9:44 PM ET - CreditSights European insurance sector analysts, Philippe Picagne and Raymond Tam, and guest speaker Mr Darrel Scott, IASB Board Member, will be hosting a webinar on IFRS 17 & 9, today at 3pm GMT.
Focused

HUM 3Q18: Guidance Raised on Strong Performance

Earnings Note: 07 Nov 2018, 10:20 AM ET - Humana reported another strong quarter based on Medicare Advantage performance that exceeded expectations. Management expressed optimism regarding the current MA open enrollment period. Still, we hold at M/P given spread levels.

Axa: 9M18 Mixed Activity Indicators

Earnings Note: 06 Nov 2018, 10:08 PM ET - Axa released mixed activity indicators for the first nine months of 2018. XL was acquired on 12 September 2018 but will be fully consolidated from 1 October 2018. Nat cat claims are relatively minor at group level.

US Employment: Almost Full, Keeps Eating

Strategy Analysis: 05 Nov 2018, 5:16 AM ET - Employment growth bounced back in October with a strong 250k print.  Wage growth hit a new high, but its gradual acceleration coupled with the strong job growth trend makes us question what full employment looks like.

US Productivity Is A Small Offset To Labor Costs

Sovereign Analysis: 02 Nov 2018, 5:38 AM ET - We break down 2 separate pieces of 3Q economic data that show while labor costs continue to rise, controlling for productivity growth gives a rosier picture. 

PCE Deflator: Steady in September

Worth Watching: 29 Oct 2018, 10:19 PM ET - PCE Deflator: The September income & outlays report showed another mild month for consumer price gains. The headline all-items index increased by 0.1% MoM, bringing the YoY rate to 2.0%, down from its July peak of 2.3%. The core PCE deflator (e ..

US GDP: Consumers Show Up Again

Strategy Analysis: 29 Oct 2018, 5:06 AM ET - 3Q US GDP beat expectations with a strong performance by the US consumer, inventory growth, and government spending offsetting weak trade, residential investment, and capex.

Healthcare: ACA Market May be Further Pressured

Sector Outlook: 25 Oct 2018, 4:19 AM ET - The White House continues to amend the ACA and intends to give States the option of allowing insurers to provide less comprehensive coverage at a lower cost. For individuals who remain in ACA-compliant plans, this may mean higher premiums.

Global Insurance Rendez-Vous: Fiduciary Rule Redux

Global Insurance Rendez-Vous: 24 Oct 2018, 10:07 PM ET - The DOL and the SEC are revisiting the fiduciary rule in the near future. The initial version of the rule, produced under the Obama administration, caused significant headaches for insurers and a significant decline in annuity sales.

UnitedHealth 3Q18: Top Name for Flight to Quality

Earnings Note: 16 Oct 2018, 10:41 AM ET - UnitedHealth continues to post stellar results and we point to the name as an option for investors seeking refuge from recent volatility.
Focused

Health Insurance: 2019 MA Star Ratings Released

Sector Analysis: 15 Oct 2018, 6:01 AM ET - Open enrollment season for Medicare Advantage starts on October 15. Publicly traded health insurers have focused attention and resources on this line of business given favorable demographic, profitability, and regulatory trends.

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