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US Strategy: Tariffs as Repricing Event?

Strategy Analysis: 01 Mar 2018, 9:40 PM ET - The market has been building in very low odds of a trade war event, a NAFTA withdrawal, or a significant escalation of tit-for-tat trade retaliations on a broader scale.  The odds-makers just got a fresh load of input.

Transportation 2018 Outlook: Market perform

Sector Outlook: 07 Feb 2018, 5:02 AM ET - Steady global growth, rebounding US industrial production and resilient consumer confidence provide support for a positive year ahead, but NAFTA remains a wildcard that could derail the sector’s high confidence.

Upcoming NY IG & HY Conferences

Announcement: 29 Nov 2016, 8:54 PM ET - Join us in New York on Tuesday, December 13, 2016 for our upcoming conferences.

Sector Update: June 2016 - US Industrials

Sector Weightings: 13 Jul 2016, 4:06 AM ET - Our Sector Update provides  June monthly performance data and updated recommendations for the Industrial sectors. 

Maritime Shipping: Three STRONG BUYS

Sector Analysis: 04 May 2016, 10:49 PM ET - Maritime shipping sector lagged the high yield rebound.  Teekay, Teekay Offshore, and Eletson are strong buys.

Maritime Transportation: 2016 Oil Tanker Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Feb 2016, 5:23 AM ET - Tankers look forward to strong spot rates in 2016, but potential events in the Middle East Gulf could rapidly reverse this outlook.  

Freight/Rail/Logistics: 2016 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 05 Jan 2016, 11:26 PM ET - The freight/rail/logistics group is likely to Underperform.  Expect FRL leverage to increase.  Rail pricing power remains intact, but volume is more likely to surprise to the downside than upside.

July 2015 Sector Update: Industrials

Sector Weightings: 06 Aug 2015, 1:34 PM ET - Our July sector overview provides the latest monthly performance data for the Industrials sectors.  Additionally, this month features a discussion of the sector level impacts of rising interest rates.

Using the New E-Mail Alerts System

Announcement: 18 Feb 2015, 11:28 PM ET - CreditSights launched its new beta e-mail Alerts system on  Mon, February 23rd. A new interface allows users to manage their e-mail  Alerts. This is a user guide for managing your e-mail Alerts in the new system.

Announcing CreditSights' New E-Mail Alerts System

Announcement: 12 Feb 2015, 11:27 PM ET - CreditSights announced the launch of its new beta e-mail Alerts system on Monday, February 23rd. Your previous e-mail Alert preferences will be carried over into the new beta e-mail Alerts system.

Freight/Rail/Logistics: 2015 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 13 Jan 2015, 12:15 AM ET - The FRL group performs well in a risk off environment. The rails have strong balance sheets with pension and lease-adjusted net debt to EBITDA of 1.7x.  They are solid cash generators, with predictable earnings and below-average event risk.

Freight Transportation: 2014 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 14 Jan 2014, 10:54 PM ET - 2014 rail financial performance should strengthen.  Event risk is generally low, but watch competitive access rules, longshoremen contract talks, and tank car regulation. 

HY Note: How Dark is Darkest for Maritime Shipping

HY Note: 26 Jun 2012, 10:25 AM ET - Resist impulses to jump into vessel ownership.
Focused

General Maritime: Chapter Closed

Worth Watching: 27 Mar 2012, 11:31 PM ET - General Maritime bondholders settled for a 5% recovery, small but above their zero intrinsic value.  The deal comes just before scheduled depositions of GMR management.  Unfortunately for curiosity seekers, details of certain earlier transactions ..

UPS: Pulls the Trigger on TNT Bid

Company Analysis: 19 Feb 2012, 9:25 PM ET - UPS pulled the trigger and made a €9 per share bid for TNT Express. We believe UPS can easily absorb the acquisition, which would also provide a means for Post NL to finally divest its stake in TNTE.
Focused

General Maritime: The 12% Notes are Not So Senior

Worth Watching: 01 Feb 2012, 10:40 PM ET - General Maritime filed a reorganization plan that gives almost no recovery to the senior notes, other than nuisance value over alleged insider shenanigans.  This highlights that even first lien debt is at or below water in maritime financing (see ..
Focused

HY Note: General Maritime - Diary of a Bad Bond

HY Note: 22 Nov 2011, 9:45 AM ET - Postmortem of the GMR 12s.
Focused

General Maritime 3Q11: Speak No Evil

Earnings Note: 03 Nov 2011, 11:47 PM ET - GMR cancelled its earnings call, and with good reason.
Focused

Maritime Shipping: Sink, Sank, and Almost Sunk

Worth Watching: 08 Aug 2011, 11:52 PM ET - Maritime Shipping equities conjugate the verb "to sink" along with other economically sensitive sectors, but more so due to long-term overcapacity issues.  Equity analysts finally capitulated on the tanker stocks during 2Q11 with the current capit ..
Focused

General Maritime: Hit the Bid

Worth Watching: 14 Jul 2011, 9:57 PM ET - General Maritime (GMR: B3/CCC+) senior notes finally broke down on news of the looser bank debt cash covenants.  Tanker rates remain in a year-long funk, and there are no expectations of a rally absent cosmic intervention.  Even the slowdown of Li ..

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