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Indonesia Property: 2019 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Dec 2018, 5:19 AM ET - We take a look at the key drivers that would shape the course of Indonesian property heading into 2019. We provide the credit outlook for Indonesian property for 2019 and the recommendations for the individual companies.

Foshan Trip Notes October 2018: Spillover Demand

Site Visits: 25 Nov 2018, 11:57 PM ET - Compared to the other Tier-1 cities we visited, the housing and credit policies in Foshan were far more relaxed.  It is no wonder that some non-natives in Guangzhou have chosen to buy homes in Foshan instead. 

Shenzhen Trip Notes October 2018: Too Expensive!

Site Visits: 21 Nov 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Shenzhen homes are extremely expensive.  The LTM Cost/Income multiple as of September 2018 was 43.2x (National average: 9.9x), indicating that new homes in Shenzhen are significantly less affordable than most places in China.

China Property Sector: PBOC’s Take On Sector

Sector Analysis: 09 Nov 2018, 3:12 AM ET - Is the China property sector risky in the eyes of the People's Bank of China ("PBOC")?

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Macros in Pictures

China Property Navigator: 12 Oct 2018, 4:04 AM ET - This report marks the end of our China Property Navigator 3Q18 series. Developers appear to be shifting their land bank expansion focus to out of China's top 40 cities.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Bond Supply

China Property Navigator: 11 Oct 2018, 3:23 AM ET - This report is part 4 of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. The domestic public corporate bond market seems to be re-opening quietly. Supply risk from the China property sector is also expected to moderate in 4Q18.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Relative Ranking

China Property Navigator: 10 Oct 2018, 12:38 AM ET - This is the 3rd part of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. We ranked the 13 Chinese developers under our full coverage and upgraded our recommendations on a number of bond issues.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: 1H18 Results Wrap

China Property Navigator: 09 Oct 2018, 3:54 AM ET - We summarize the LTM to 1H18 results of the Chinese developers under our coverage in this report and highlight broad trends in 1H18. This report is the 2nd part of a 5-part series.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 08 Oct 2018, 1:55 AM ET - Local governments continued fine-tuning existing housing policies for their respective cities in 3Q18. Tighter resale restrictions and HPRs were rolled out even at the county-level.

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 27 August 2018

Strategy Analysis: 24 Aug 2018, 3:15 AM ET - 13 Chinese property developers, 12 Chinese financial institutions and 6 Chinese industrial companies will release results next week.

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 13 August 2018

Strategy Analysis: 10 Aug 2018, 12:20 AM ET - The National Bureau of Statistics of China will release its July monthly report on Real Estate Investment and Sales, and Monthly Home Price Indices for Top 70 Cities next week. The 1H18 earnings season begins for Chinese issuers.

HK/SG Conference 2018: Indo vs. Chinese Developers

Transcript: 31 Jul 2018, 10:58 PM ET - Indonesian versus Chinese Developers: Where is the value?

China Property Navigator 2Q18: Liquidity Crunch?

China Property Navigator: 04 Jul 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Will Chinese developers face a liquidity crunch, on the back of rising average cost of debt and the recent NDRC rule on limiting offshore bond proceeds?

China Property Navigator 2Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 03 Jul 2018, 6:18 AM ET - China maintained its restrictive policy stance in most cities. More tightening measures were imposed in lower Tier-2 cities while fine-tunings were made at the district level. 

China Trip Notes May 2018: Losing Momentum

Site Visits: 28 Jun 2018, 11:51 PM ET - Our recent trip to Shenyang, Dalian, Jinan and Qingdao indicated that the property markets have recovered but are losing momentum. We keep our recommendations on BJCL, Evergrande, Jinmao, Longfor, Shimao and Sunac unchanged after our visit.

China: No More 363-Day Bonds

Worth Watching: 28 Jun 2018, 4:09 AM ET - China 's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) may ban $ bond issues with tenors of under 1 year, according to the press. The NDRC may also limit offshore bond quotas and has limited property developers' use of offshore bond proceeds t ..

Qingdao Trip Notes May 2018: Property Tapering Off

Site Visits: 17 Jun 2018, 8:26 AM ET - We visited 4 projects in Qingdao by Jinmao, Future Land, Shimao and Beijing Capital Land. We think that the Qingdao property market has peaked and is heading towards a slowdown.
Focused

Qingdao Trip Notes May 2018: Future Land

Site Visits: 11 Jun 2018, 5:28 AM ET - We visited Future Land's Xi Yue project in Qingdao recently. We estimate the gross margin for this project to be around 47%, thanks to the relatively low cost of land (RMB 1,100 – 1,200/sqm) in 2012. 

Jinan Trip Notes May 2018: Market Still Healthy

Site Visits: 11 Jun 2018, 5:25 AM ET - Jinan is the capital of Shandong province. Our recent trip covered 5 projects developed by China Overseas Land, Future Land, Sunac and a Shimao/Poly/Future Land joint venture.  We think the property market in Jinan is still healthy.
Focused

Jinan Trip Notes May 2018: Future Land

Site Visits: 05 Jun 2018, 5:54 AM ET - Future Land first entered Jinan in 2014. We visited 2 of Future Land's projects in Jinan recently. They are Future Land Fragrant Legend (香溢澜庭) & Xiangyi Huating (香溢华庭).

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