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IG European Consumer: 2019 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2018, 9:03 PM ET - We set out more on our six opinion changes in European food & beverage/HPC and retail for 2019, plus the initiation of Molson Coors, and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.
Focused

Tendam F2Q18/19: To Have and To Hold

Earnings Note: 29 Oct 2018, 10:30 PM ET - A partial arrest of the LFL sales declines we saw in 1Q combined with lower yoy leverage (albeit driven by WC movements), bond buybacks and reassuring comments from management regarding current trading should provide comfort to holders.

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.
Focused

Cortefiel F1Q18/19: View From The Bridge

Earnings Note: 05 Aug 2018, 9:36 PM ET - Cortefiel's weaker 1Q18/19 had been foretold and management's  hints at recovery in 2Q saw a 2 point uptick to 96 post-call. The question now is, with a slim 5% coupon, can the promise of an IPO get Cortefiel back to par?

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 
Focused

Cortefiel FY17/18: The First Cut

Earnings Note: 26 Jun 2018, 10:08 PM ET - After a very successful FY17/18, guidance for the first quarter is the first cut to the love affair with Cortefiel; we are told it will be soft given the strong comps and timing effects. A blip or the start of something bigger? 

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  

February 2018 Company Coverage Initiated

Company Coverage Initiated: 28 Feb 2018, 11:28 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the four companies on which we launched coverage in North America, Asia and Europe during the month of February.
Focused

Cortefiel 3Q18: Middle of the Road

Earnings Note: 07 Feb 2018, 10:14 PM ET - Cortefiel is a decent story, but it is fashion retail and that always demands higher returns vs its Euro retail peers. Indeed, while it hangs together quite well given the turnaround and low leverage, there are easier credits to own. 

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

IG European Consumer: 2018 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2017, 9:29 PM ET - We set out more on our five opinion changes in European food & beverage and retail for 2018 and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

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