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China Oil and Gas Group

COG is a piped gas operator in China. The group builds, owns and operates natural gas pipelines. It also transmits gas from its pipelines to its own city-gas distribution network and those of other downstream distributors, to whom it charges transmission fees. COG has a fleet of liquefied natural gas (LNG) & compressed natural gas (CNG) vehicles, two LNG processing plants and CNG and LNG refuelling stations. Around 81% of its gas sales and distribution revenues come from China City Natural Gas Investment Group (CCNG), a 51:49 joint venture between COG and Kunlun Energy. Kunlun Energy is a subsidiary of the state-owned China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). COG had 1.3 mn residential customers and 10,864 industrial/commercial/other customers as at 30 June 2018. It sold 1.9 bn cubic metres of gas in 1H18 (1H17: 1.2 bn). Key regions include Qinghai, Hunan, Jiangsu and Shandong. COG's upstream subsidiary Baccalieu Energy focuses on Cardium light oil in west central Alberta, Canada. (27 Sep 2018)

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Oil & Gas: OPEC+ Plays Let's Make a Deal

Sector Analysis: 07 Dec 2018, 11:38 AM ET - OPEC+ reportedly came together at the last minute for a 1.2 mmbd production cut although details are sparse at this point.

Oil & Gas: OPEC+ Struggling to Come Together

Sector Analysis: 06 Dec 2018, 2:02 PM ET - OPEC came away from its meeting in Vienna today empty-handed on an agreement, with plans to continue the discussion with OPEC+ tomorrow.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: December 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Dec 2018, 4:09 AM ET - New initiations this month include Agile 2020, KWG 2020, and China State Construction International perp with Market perform. Downgrades include Everre 6.25% 2021, H&H 2021 and Vedanta 2023 from Market perform to Underperform.

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 2018 Interim Edition

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 27 Nov 2018, 3:30 AM ET - The Asia High Yield Snapshot summarises the key credit metrics, cash flow trends, profitability and other financial indicators of Asian high yield $ bond issuers. This edition is updated for 2018 interim figures. 

Oil & Gas: Slashing Oil Outlook, Downgrading E&Ps

Sector Analysis: 26 Nov 2018, 4:48 AM ET - We believe the recent 33% drop in oil prices is likely to be just the first leg of a deeper decline.  We are reducing our 2019 oil price view and recalibrating our IG and HY E&P investment recommendations to a more defensive position.

Oil & Gas: Bloodbath Over or Temporary Pause?

Sector Analysis: 15 Nov 2018, 5:11 AM ET - Oil prices finally turned north yesterday, with WTI closing up a scant $0.20/bbl to $55.89/bbl, following a record string of 12 straight down days which saw prices plunge $12/bbl, or 18%.  

Asia Corporate Recommendations: November 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Nov 2018, 4:38 AM ET - We lowered our recommendation on Anton Oilfield 2020 to Market perform. However, we upgraded our recommendations on a number of Chinese property bond issues and  initiated on the new Evergrande 2020 with an Outperform recommendation.

Chinese Industrials: Currency Risk

Strategy Analysis: 26 Oct 2018, 3:02 AM ET - Almost all of the Chinese industrials we follow suffered FX losses in 1H18. We look at the breakdown of their debt, revenues, costs and cash by currency, as well as their existing hedging policies and currency sensitivity analysis. 
Focused

China Oil & Gas and ENN Energy: Connection Fee Cap

Worth Watching: 02 Oct 2018, 5:03 AM ET - China Oil & Gas and ENN Energy (COG Ba2/Stable, BB/Pos; ENN Baa2/Stable, BBB+/Stable).  China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has proposed a cap on gas distributors' connection fees, according to press reports. The fee cut co ..

Asia Corporate Recommendations: October 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Oct 2018, 4:59 AM ET - We assigned an Outperform recommendation to the CGN $ bond complex and Market perform recommendations to Country Garden's new 2022 and 2024 bonds. We also raised our recommendation on Baidu 2019 to Outperform. 

Asia Weekly: EM Currencies Falter As Fed Hikes

Asia Weekly: 28 Sep 2018, 2:26 AM ET - On Thursday, the Fed hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% to 2.25% and is expected to raise it one more time in December.  Emerging market currencies, including the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR), have been under pressure as a result. 

Asia Corporate Recommendations: September 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Sep 2018, 3:50 AM ET - We initiate on Modernland 2021 with M/P, and Fufeng 2021 with O/P. We upgraded Agile and longer-dated Evergrande bonds to M/P, and Baidu 2019 to O/P. We downgraded COG 2020, Gajah 2022 and Modernland bonds to M/P, and Jababeka 2023 to U/P.
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China Oil & Gas 1H18: On Track

Earnings Note: 29 Aug 2018, 2:39 AM ET - The piped gas provider maintained a stable dollar margin in 1H18. The company raised new short-term loans during the period, but management expects total debt to fall by year-end. 
Focused

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 27 August 2018

Strategy Analysis: 24 Aug 2018, 3:15 AM ET - 13 Chinese property developers, 12 Chinese financial institutions and 6 Chinese industrial companies will release results next week.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: August 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Aug 2018, 5:28 AM ET - This month's new initiations: Agile 2021, KWG 2021 and Sunac 8.625% 2020 with M/P. Upgrades include Agile bond complex and Jinmao 2018 to M/P. Downgrades include CNOOC bond complex and Baidu 2019 to M/P, Sunac 2021 and Vedanta 2024 to U/P.

HK/SG Conference 2018: Asia Strategy

Transcript: 30 Jul 2018, 3:57 AM ET - Falling knives and new opportunities. 

Asian Corporates: Refinancing Risk

Strategy Analysis: 17 Jul 2018, 3:21 AM ET - The primary $ bond markets are not shut, but high yield corporates are finding it hard to launch new deals in these markets. We highlight some Asian corporates that we would monitor for liquidity pressure over the coming months.

Oil & Gas: Mega-mergers Lead the Way in 2Q18

Sector Analysis: 16 Jul 2018, 10:24 PM ET - Global Oil & Gas M&A activity hit $97 bn in 2Q18, rising $31 bn, or 73%, sequentially and posting the highest quarterly total since 1Q17.
Focused

Asia Corporate Recommendations: July 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 02 Jul 2018, 6:01 AM ET - Escalating US-China trade tensions and refinancing concerns for Chinese issuers amid stricter credit controls continue to weigh on investor risk appetite. We downgraded our recommendations on Alam, Jababeka, Agile and Yanlord recently.

Oil Markets: OPEC Leaves 'Em Guessing

Sector Analysis: 26 Jun 2018, 4:26 AM ET - OPEC and its non-OPEC partners in cooperation, collectively, OPEC+, threw the market a curveball over the weekend by failing to come up with any clear and concrete plans to bring production back online.

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