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IG European Consumer: 2019 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2018, 9:03 PM ET - We set out more on our six opinion changes in European food & beverage/HPC and retail for 2019, plus the initiation of Molson Coors, and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

IG European Consumer 2019: Known Unknowns

Sector Outlook: 06 Dec 2018, 10:03 PM ET - We have updated our frameworks for assessing RV in our high grade/crossover European food & bev/HPC and retail names for 2019, the 500th anniversary of the death of Leonardo da Vinci. We also initiate coverage on Molson Coors.
Focused

BUT F1Q19: ReButtal

Worth Watching: 25 Nov 2018, 9:40 PM ET - BUT F1Q19 was a return to better form for the company after a worrying fourth quarter. The numbers themselves, plus the tone of the call, were much improved with new management engaged and proactive in contrast to the head-scratching and slight ..

Euro IG Sector Snapshots: October 2018

Sector Analysis: 22 Oct 2018, 9:31 PM ET - Our updated one page snapshots of the Euro IG sectors.
Focused

BUT FY18: Identity Crisis

HY Note: 28 Sep 2018, 12:02 AM ET - A messy report and call with the CEO's explanation of his departure more perplexing that illuminating and further mea culpas around the misfiring supply chain transformation. Even the World Cup was unhelpful. What is going on at BUT?

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 23 Jul 2018, 10:48 PM ET - Wm Morrison is our pick and Marks & Spencer our pan for 2H18 amongst the IG/Fallen Angel UK retailers. 

IG/Fallen Angels European Retail: Second Half

Sector Outlook: 12 Jul 2018, 9:48 PM ET - We have downgraded our opinion on Carrefour to Underperform and initiated on Richemont with an Outperform as a result of our IG/Fallen Angels European Retail 2H18 outlook. 

John Lewis Partnership: Bashing M&S

IG Note: 27 Jun 2018, 9:24 PM ET - John Lewis expects lower profits this year but the next phase of its strategy should worry M&S.      

Euro HY Conference 2018: Relative Value Panel

Transcript: 27 Jun 2018, 9:21 PM ET - What is the biggest threat to European HY credit: Italy, Brexit, EM, commodities, tech or Donald Trump? 

French Grocers: Property Off B/S Financing

Worth Watching: 24 Jun 2018, 10:33 PM ET - French Grocers have taken different approaches to financing their property book. The role of property in retail is worth watching. In the light of Casino's proposed sale and leaseback of part of its store portfolio, we thought it worth revisitin ..

Euro HY Conference 2018: HY Retail Transcript

Transcript: 19 Jun 2018, 10:53 PM ET - In this article, we transcribe our HY Retail presentation for CreditSights' 2018 Euro High Yield Conference in which took a closer look at some of the drivers of valuation in the space.
Focused

BUT F3Q18: ReButtal

Earnings Note: 23 May 2018, 10:24 PM ET - BUT has fallen out of its previous habit of impeccable results. The last few quarters have been undermined by supply chain disruptions albeit the cash generating profile of the business still saves the day. We assess value. 

UK Retail Strategy: Brexit + Beast From The East

Strategy Analysis: 10 May 2018, 5:50 AM ET - An increase in the cost of imported goods triggered by the Brexit vote, the squeeze on consumer wages and the ‘Beast from the East’ have combined to dent the fortunes of UK retail.

IG European Retail: The Fin Services Opportunity

Sector Analysis: 09 Apr 2018, 10:48 PM ET - We examine the place of consumer finance services in our IG/fallen angel European retail coverage.  
Focused

BUT F2Q18: Blip or Slip?

Earnings Note: 21 Feb 2018, 7:38 PM ET - BUT had an uncharacteristically weak F2Q18 with a sharp drop in LFLs blamed on a variety of causes. We take a closer look to try to assess the prospects for a quick recovery. 

Euro HY Consumer Outlook 2018

Sector Outlook: 16 Jan 2018, 9:00 PM ET - We take a look at the key themes in play in evaluating prospects in the Euro HY Consumer space and aim to provide a fundamental framework to analyse available investment options within our coverage universe.

IG/Fallen Angel UK Retail: Incomparable Christmas

Sector Analysis: 11 Jan 2018, 9:59 PM ET - Tesco, M&S, and John Lewis all reported 'Christmas' sales, each covering a different trading period.  

IG European Consumer: 2018 New Issuance

Sector Outlook: 21 Dec 2017, 9:59 PM ET - A brief look at possible investment grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail issuance in 2018.

IG European Consumer: 2018 Outlook Opinion Changes

Sector Outlook: 11 Dec 2017, 9:29 PM ET - We set out more on our five opinion changes in European food & beverage and retail for 2018 and give specific bond recommendations in order to execute them. 

2017 Euro Conference: IG Consumer

Transcript: 11 Dec 2017, 8:47 PM ET - We spoke about our outlook for our high grade and crossover European food & beverage and retail names in 2018, the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 8 space mission.

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