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Beijing Capital Land

BJCL is a leading real estate developer in China, which often integrates residential property with retail and office spaces. The company focuses on residential developments, outlet complexes, and urban core complexes. It is also involved in the development of social housing in Beijing. BJCL is 54.5%-owned by Beijing Capital Group (BCG) which is a state-owned enterprise (SOE). As of 31 December 2017, BJCL had an attributable land bank of 8.05 mn sqm in China and Australia. 82% of its land bank is for property development. The company's 6 core cities, Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Chongqing, Chengdu, and Shenzhen, accounted for 82% of gross land bank in terms of value. BJCL was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in June 2003. As of 19 July 2018, its market capitalization stood at HKD 9.96 bn ($1.27 bn). The shareholders include BCG (54.5% direct interest), China Resource Products Limited (11.9%), Government of Singapore Investment Corporation Private Limited (GIC) (5.5%), and the public and other financial institutions (28.1%). (19 Jul 2018)

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Focused

China Property 2019: Worse Before Getting Better

Sector Outlook: 13 Dec 2018, 10:30 PM ET - We think that the Chinese property sector is likely to slow down at a controlled pace next year. We maintain our defensive stance, and recommend investors to hold the Chinese BBB, BB, and selective single B, short-dated developers.
Focused

Asian High Yield Outlook: 8 Themes for 2019

Strategy Analysis: 11 Dec 2018, 9:12 PM ET - 1) Easing $ supply risk. 2) China onshore funding. 3) Fundamental credit headwinds. 4) Rising funding costs.  5) Equity volatility and share-backed financing.  6) Elections in India and Indonesia.  7) LGFV refinancing. 8) China slowdown. 

Indonesia Property: 2019 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Dec 2018, 5:19 AM ET - We take a look at the key drivers that would shape the course of Indonesian property heading into 2019. We provide the credit outlook for Indonesian property for 2019 and the recommendations for the individual companies.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: December 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Dec 2018, 4:09 AM ET - New initiations this month include Agile 2020, KWG 2020, and China State Construction International perp with Market perform. Downgrades include Everre 6.25% 2021, H&H 2021 and Vedanta 2023 from Market perform to Underperform.

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 2018 Interim Edition

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 27 Nov 2018, 3:30 AM ET - The Asia High Yield Snapshot summarises the key credit metrics, cash flow trends, profitability and other financial indicators of Asian high yield $ bond issuers. This edition is updated for 2018 interim figures. 

Foshan Trip Notes October 2018: Spillover Demand

Site Visits: 25 Nov 2018, 11:57 PM ET - Compared to the other Tier-1 cities we visited, the housing and credit policies in Foshan were far more relaxed.  It is no wonder that some non-natives in Guangzhou have chosen to buy homes in Foshan instead. 

Shenzhen Trip Notes October 2018: Too Expensive!

Site Visits: 21 Nov 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Shenzhen homes are extremely expensive.  The LTM Cost/Income multiple as of September 2018 was 43.2x (National average: 9.9x), indicating that new homes in Shenzhen are significantly less affordable than most places in China.

China Property Sector: PBOC’s Take On Sector

Sector Analysis: 09 Nov 2018, 3:12 AM ET - Is the China property sector risky in the eyes of the People's Bank of China ("PBOC")?

Asia Corporate Recommendations: November 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Nov 2018, 4:38 AM ET - We lowered our recommendation on Anton Oilfield 2020 to Market perform. However, we upgraded our recommendations on a number of Chinese property bond issues and  initiated on the new Evergrande 2020 with an Outperform recommendation.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Macros in Pictures

China Property Navigator: 12 Oct 2018, 4:04 AM ET - This report marks the end of our China Property Navigator 3Q18 series. Developers appear to be shifting their land bank expansion focus to out of China's top 40 cities.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Bond Supply

China Property Navigator: 11 Oct 2018, 3:23 AM ET - This report is part 4 of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. The domestic public corporate bond market seems to be re-opening quietly. Supply risk from the China property sector is also expected to moderate in 4Q18.
Focused

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Relative Ranking

China Property Navigator: 10 Oct 2018, 12:38 AM ET - This is the 3rd part of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. We ranked the 13 Chinese developers under our full coverage and upgraded our recommendations on a number of bond issues.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: 1H18 Results Wrap

China Property Navigator: 09 Oct 2018, 3:54 AM ET - We summarize the LTM to 1H18 results of the Chinese developers under our coverage in this report and highlight broad trends in 1H18. This report is the 2nd part of a 5-part series.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 08 Oct 2018, 1:55 AM ET - Local governments continued fine-tuning existing housing policies for their respective cities in 3Q18. Tighter resale restrictions and HPRs were rolled out even at the county-level.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: October 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Oct 2018, 4:59 AM ET - We assigned an Outperform recommendation to the CGN $ bond complex and Market perform recommendations to Country Garden's new 2022 and 2024 bonds. We also raised our recommendation on Baidu 2019 to Outperform. 
Focused

BJCL: HKD 1.3 bn Loan For Refinancing

Worth Watching: 25 Sep 2018, 5:06 AM ET - BJCL or Beijing Capital Land (Corp Ratings: BB+/Ba3/BB+) has mandated Wing Lung to arrange a HKD 1.3 bn 3-year term loan. According to the company, the funds raised will be used to refinance existing debt. Meetings with the bank will start on 26 S ..

Asia Corporate Recommendations: September 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Sep 2018, 3:50 AM ET - We initiate on Modernland 2021 with M/P, and Fufeng 2021 with O/P. We upgraded Agile and longer-dated Evergrande bonds to M/P, and Baidu 2019 to O/P. We downgraded COG 2020, Gajah 2022 and Modernland bonds to M/P, and Jababeka 2023 to U/P.
Focused

BJCL 1H18: Deteriorates With Debt-Fueled Expansion

Earnings Note: 27 Aug 2018, 3:43 AM ET - BJCL reported a poor set of results for 1H18 and missed our expectations. Total revenue slipped 3.4%, margins were squeezed, and credit metrics deteriorated as the company forged ahead with its debt-fueled expansion plans. 
Focused

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 27 August 2018

Strategy Analysis: 24 Aug 2018, 3:15 AM ET - 13 Chinese property developers, 12 Chinese financial institutions and 6 Chinese industrial companies will release results next week.

Asia Credit Calendar: Week of 20 August 2018

Strategy Analysis: 17 Aug 2018, 2:36 AM ET - The 1H18 earning season continues for Chinese issuers. 13 Chinese property developers, 4 Chinese industrial companies and 4 Chinese financial institutions will release results next week.

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