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Alam Sutera Realty

Alam develops mid-to high-end residential properties in Indonesia. It develops landed houses, shop houses, high-rise apartment units, office towers and land lots in addition to providing estate management services and operating a cultural park. Alam's real estate operations are spread across two townships – (a) Alam Sutera at Serpong, (b) Suvarna Sutera at Pasar Kemis, a high density mass-market residential development at Cikokol, Greater Jakarta and office tower in Jakarta CBD. The Suvarna Sutera project at Pasar Kemis is positioned to capture the more resilient demand from middle-to low-income home buyers with more affordable pricing and is targeted at first-time home buyers. Alam has a land sale agreement with China Fortune Land at Pasar Kemis. Alam has a large land bank and is able to reap high gross profit margins of 50%-74%, having acquired the land bank at a low cost in the 1990s. Alam was listed in 2007 on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. (11 Jan 2018)

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China Property 2019: Worse Before Getting Better

Sector Outlook: 13 Dec 2018, 10:30 PM ET - We think that the Chinese property sector is likely to slow down at a controlled pace next year. We maintain our defensive stance, and recommend investors to hold the Chinese BBB, BB, and selective single B, short-dated developers.
Focused

Indonesia Property: 2019 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Dec 2018, 5:19 AM ET - We take a look at the key drivers that would shape the course of Indonesian property heading into 2019. We provide the credit outlook for Indonesian property for 2019 and the recommendations for the individual companies.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: December 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Dec 2018, 4:09 AM ET - New initiations this month include Agile 2020, KWG 2020, and China State Construction International perp with Market perform. Downgrades include Everre 6.25% 2021, H&H 2021 and Vedanta 2023 from Market perform to Underperform.

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 2018 Interim Edition

Asia High Yield Snapshot: 27 Nov 2018, 3:30 AM ET - The Asia High Yield Snapshot summarises the key credit metrics, cash flow trends, profitability and other financial indicators of Asian high yield $ bond issuers. This edition is updated for 2018 interim figures. 

Foshan Trip Notes October 2018: Spillover Demand

Site Visits: 25 Nov 2018, 11:57 PM ET - Compared to the other Tier-1 cities we visited, the housing and credit policies in Foshan were far more relaxed.  It is no wonder that some non-natives in Guangzhou have chosen to buy homes in Foshan instead. 

Shenzhen Trip Notes October 2018: Too Expensive!

Site Visits: 21 Nov 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Shenzhen homes are extremely expensive.  The LTM Cost/Income multiple as of September 2018 was 43.2x (National average: 9.9x), indicating that new homes in Shenzhen are significantly less affordable than most places in China.

China Property Sector: PBOC’s Take On Sector

Sector Analysis: 09 Nov 2018, 3:12 AM ET - Is the China property sector risky in the eyes of the People's Bank of China ("PBOC")?

Asia Corporate Recommendations: November 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Nov 2018, 4:38 AM ET - We lowered our recommendation on Anton Oilfield 2020 to Market perform. However, we upgraded our recommendations on a number of Chinese property bond issues and  initiated on the new Evergrande 2020 with an Outperform recommendation.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Macros in Pictures

China Property Navigator: 12 Oct 2018, 4:04 AM ET - This report marks the end of our China Property Navigator 3Q18 series. Developers appear to be shifting their land bank expansion focus to out of China's top 40 cities.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Bond Supply

China Property Navigator: 11 Oct 2018, 3:23 AM ET - This report is part 4 of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. The domestic public corporate bond market seems to be re-opening quietly. Supply risk from the China property sector is also expected to moderate in 4Q18.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Relative Ranking

China Property Navigator: 10 Oct 2018, 12:38 AM ET - This is the 3rd part of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. We ranked the 13 Chinese developers under our full coverage and upgraded our recommendations on a number of bond issues.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: 1H18 Results Wrap

China Property Navigator: 09 Oct 2018, 3:54 AM ET - We summarize the LTM to 1H18 results of the Chinese developers under our coverage in this report and highlight broad trends in 1H18. This report is the 2nd part of a 5-part series.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 08 Oct 2018, 1:55 AM ET - Local governments continued fine-tuning existing housing policies for their respective cities in 3Q18. Tighter resale restrictions and HPRs were rolled out even at the county-level.

Asia Credit: New York City Investor Meetings

Strategy Analysis: 03 Oct 2018, 12:13 AM ET - Our Asia corporate analysts spent two days meeting investors in New York earlier this month. We met a mix of investor types, including US and non-US based asset managers, investment advisers, investment banks, hedge funds and private banks.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: October 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Oct 2018, 4:59 AM ET - We assigned an Outperform recommendation to the CGN $ bond complex and Market perform recommendations to Country Garden's new 2022 and 2024 bonds. We also raised our recommendation on Baidu 2019 to Outperform. 

Indon & India Corporates: Currency Risk

Worth Watching: 06 Sep 2018, 6:30 AM ET - Indon & India Corporates : Both INR and IDR are in another renewed bout of weakness against the $. $/INR recently breached 70 for the first time ever and is currently trading at 71.9. The $/IDR is just shy of the 15,000 mark, presently trading ..

Asia Corporate Recommendations: September 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Sep 2018, 3:50 AM ET - We initiate on Modernland 2021 with M/P, and Fufeng 2021 with O/P. We upgraded Agile and longer-dated Evergrande bonds to M/P, and Baidu 2019 to O/P. We downgraded COG 2020, Gajah 2022 and Modernland bonds to M/P, and Jababeka 2023 to U/P.
Focused

Alam 1H18: Earnings Strong, But Outlook Dreary

Worth Watching: 24 Aug 2018, 7:49 AM ET - Alam 1H18 (Alam Sutera; Bond Ratings: B/ B2/ B) revenues jumped 30% YoY to IDR 2.2 tn in 1H18 (1H17: IDR 1.7 tn), led by a 20% YoY increase in land lots sales to IDR 1.1 tn (1H17: IDR 931 bn) and a 54% YoY rise in apartment sales to IDR 185 bn ..

Asia Corporate Recommendations: August 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 01 Aug 2018, 5:28 AM ET - This month's new initiations: Agile 2021, KWG 2021 and Sunac 8.625% 2020 with M/P. Upgrades include Agile bond complex and Jinmao 2018 to M/P. Downgrades include CNOOC bond complex and Baidu 2019 to M/P, Sunac 2021 and Vedanta 2024 to U/P.
Focused

HK/SG Conference 2018: Indo vs. Chinese Developers

Transcript: 31 Jul 2018, 10:58 PM ET - Indonesian versus Chinese Developers: Where is the value?

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