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Indonesia Property: 2019 Outlook

Sector Outlook: 04 Dec 2018, 5:19 AM ET - We take a look at the key drivers that would shape the course of Indonesian property heading into 2019. We provide the credit outlook for Indonesian property for 2019 and the recommendations for the individual companies.

Asia Corporate Recommendations: December 2018

Asia Corporate Recommendations: 03 Dec 2018, 4:09 AM ET - New initiations this month include Agile 2020, KWG 2020, and China State Construction International perp with Market perform. Downgrades include Everre 6.25% 2021, H&H 2021 and Vedanta 2023 from Market perform to Underperform.
Focused

Agung: Downgraded by Moody’s to B1

Worth Watching: 28 Nov 2018, 6:44 AM ET - Agung or Agung Podomoro Land (Bond ratings: NR/ B1/ B) was downgraded by Moody's rating agency to B1 from Ba3, due to lower than expected marketing sales achieved in the first 10 months of 2018. Agung managed to achieve core marketing sales of ..

Foshan Trip Notes October 2018: Spillover Demand

Site Visits: 25 Nov 2018, 11:57 PM ET - Compared to the other Tier-1 cities we visited, the housing and credit policies in Foshan were far more relaxed.  It is no wonder that some non-natives in Guangzhou have chosen to buy homes in Foshan instead. 

Shenzhen Trip Notes October 2018: Too Expensive!

Site Visits: 21 Nov 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Shenzhen homes are extremely expensive.  The LTM Cost/Income multiple as of September 2018 was 43.2x (National average: 9.9x), indicating that new homes in Shenzhen are significantly less affordable than most places in China.

China Property Sector: PBOC’s Take On Sector

Sector Analysis: 09 Nov 2018, 3:12 AM ET - Is the China property sector risky in the eyes of the People's Bank of China ("PBOC")?
Focused

Agung 9M18: Earnings Hampered by Dismal Land Sales

Worth Watching: 02 Nov 2018, 6:34 AM ET - Agung 9M18 or Agung Podomoro Land (Bond Ratings: NR/ Ba3/ B) revenues declined 30% YoY to IDR 3.8 tn in 9M18 (9M17: IDR 5.5 tn), largely driven by a steep 96% decline in the land sales segment to IDR 63 bn in 9M18 (9M17: IDR 1.4 tn). The sales ..

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Macros in Pictures

China Property Navigator: 12 Oct 2018, 4:04 AM ET - This report marks the end of our China Property Navigator 3Q18 series. Developers appear to be shifting their land bank expansion focus to out of China's top 40 cities.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Bond Supply

China Property Navigator: 11 Oct 2018, 3:23 AM ET - This report is part 4 of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. The domestic public corporate bond market seems to be re-opening quietly. Supply risk from the China property sector is also expected to moderate in 4Q18.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Relative Ranking

China Property Navigator: 10 Oct 2018, 12:38 AM ET - This is the 3rd part of our 5-part 3Q18 China Property Navigator. We ranked the 13 Chinese developers under our full coverage and upgraded our recommendations on a number of bond issues.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: 1H18 Results Wrap

China Property Navigator: 09 Oct 2018, 3:54 AM ET - We summarize the LTM to 1H18 results of the Chinese developers under our coverage in this report and highlight broad trends in 1H18. This report is the 2nd part of a 5-part series.

China Property Navigator 3Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 08 Oct 2018, 1:55 AM ET - Local governments continued fine-tuning existing housing policies for their respective cities in 3Q18. Tighter resale restrictions and HPRs were rolled out even at the county-level.

Asia Weekly: Slipped After September's Recovery

Asia Weekly: 05 Oct 2018, 2:41 AM ET - Asian $-bond markets lost some ground this week as spreads widened after a mild recovery in September, while treasury yields spiked shortly after the Fed hiked its benchmark interest rate.  

Asia Weekly: Rain After a Long Drought of Issuance

Asia Weekly: 06 Sep 2018, 11:49 PM ET - Asian $-bond markets were weighed down slightly this week by a strong return of investment grade $-bond supply and depreciating Asian EM currencies such as the Indonesian Rupiah. 

Asia Weekly: White Knight For Wintime Energy

Asia Weekly: 24 Aug 2018, 2:07 AM ET - Asian $-bond spreads have continued to trade sideways since the start of August, after the market rout in June and July. State-owned Beijing Energy Holdings will seek a major shareholding in Wintime's controlling holder Yongtai Group.

Asia Weekly: Bank Indonesia Raises Rates Again

Asia Weekly: 17 Aug 2018, 2:00 AM ET - We approach the peak of Chinese earnings season next week. Primary markets are relatively quiet as a result of the regulatory black-out periods. 

HK/SG Conference 2018: Indo vs. Chinese Developers

Transcript: 31 Jul 2018, 10:58 PM ET - Indonesian versus Chinese Developers: Where is the value?

China Property Navigator 2Q18: Liquidity Crunch?

China Property Navigator: 04 Jul 2018, 5:01 AM ET - Will Chinese developers face a liquidity crunch, on the back of rising average cost of debt and the recent NDRC rule on limiting offshore bond proceeds?

China Property Navigator 2Q18: Housing Policies

China Property Navigator: 03 Jul 2018, 6:18 AM ET - China maintained its restrictive policy stance in most cities. More tightening measures were imposed in lower Tier-2 cities while fine-tunings were made at the district level. 

Asia Weekly: High Yield Jitters

Asia Weekly: 29 Jun 2018, 12:33 AM ET - Asian $-bond spreads continued to widen amid trade concerns. Over the past week, the BAML Asia ex-Japan $ investment grade index widened by 3 bp, while the high yield index widened by a whopping 45 bp. 

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