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Aetna

Aetna is one of the largest private health insurance companies in the United States. With geographic exposure in all 50 states, penetration with network providers is deep and members have access to most U.S. physicians and hospitals. Aetna's primary sources of revenue include fully-insured commercial solutions, self-funded ASO solutions, and Medicare and Medicaid business. CVS Health is the largest pharmacy health care provider in the US, with an integrated model consisting of its Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM) and Retail/LTC pharmacy businesses. (12 Sep 2018)

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US Employment: Modest Gains for Jobs & Wages

Sector Analysis: 09 Dec 2018, 9:01 PM ET - Payrolls and wages both took a step back in November.  We highlight this months employment data and discuss the possibility for manufacturing, construction, and mining employment to lead a 2019 deceleration in jobs growth.

Transcript: US Insurers & The Rate Environment

Transcript: 04 Dec 2018, 9:15 PM ET - This note provides the slides and transcript for the U.S. insurance presentation given at the CreditSights IG and Crossover conference on December 4, 2018. A download link to the slides is provided in the note.

Euro Financial Movers: Stressing The Positives

Euro Financial Movers: 02 Dec 2018, 10:07 PM ET - The Bank of England's stress test results, more money laundering problems for Danske Bank and Deutsche Bank, HSH Nordbank's Tier 1 termination, Axa's deleveraging, and the effect of S&P's rating methodology change on insurance hybrids.

US Income & Spending: Strong Start to 4Q Spending

Strategy Analysis: 30 Nov 2018, 4:37 AM ET - October consumer data delivered above expectations with strong real spending, solid income, and soft inflation.  We dig into the details and highlight strong growth in discretionary spending categories.
Focused

CVS: Closes On Aetna, Earns Moody's Downgrade

Worth Watching: 28 Nov 2018, 9:04 PM ET - CVS (Baa2/BBB) completed their acquisition of Aetna, and Moody's celebrated the matrimony with a downgrade from Baa1 to Baa2. The downgrade came as no surprise, given previous telegraphing from the agency around the debt surge to fund the acquisi ..

Consumer Pulse: Holiday Sales Update & More

Sector Analysis: 28 Nov 2018, 4:11 AM ET - Consumer holiday spending viewed through the e-commerce lens looks to be off to a strong start. The consumer economy has a mix of puts and takes, ranging from rising mortgage rates to falling prices at the pump.

U.S. Insurance: $11+bn in Total GE Exposure

Sector Analysis: 26 Nov 2018, 5:14 AM ET - In this note we highlight U.S. insurer exposure to GE. AIG, State Farm, GE’s own insurance operation, Aegon, Lincoln Financial, Aflac, and Prudential are all in the top-10.

Healthcare: 3Q18 Earnings Recap

Sector Analysis: 25 Nov 2018, 11:27 PM ET - In this note, we recap 3Q18 earnings results for the health insurers, medical device makers and pharmaceutical companies within our IG coverage universe.

Transcript: How will IFRS 17 & 9 Affect Insurers?

Transcript: 20 Nov 2018, 9:16 PM ET - Together with our guest speaker, Mr Darrel Scott - IASB Board Member, we present the takeaways of IFRS 17 & 9 and discuss their consequences on the financial analysis of insurers. The audio link will allow you to listen the webinar.

Webinar: How will IFRS 17 & 9 Affect Insurers?

Announcement: 19 Nov 2018, 9:44 PM ET - CreditSights European insurance sector analysts, Philippe Picagne and Raymond Tam, and guest speaker Mr Darrel Scott, IASB Board Member, will be hosting a webinar on IFRS 17 & 9, today at 3pm GMT.

CVS 3Q18: Confident in NY/CA Deal Approval

Earnings Note: 07 Nov 2018, 5:17 AM ET - CVS printed a solid 3Q result, and expressed confidence that final state-level approvals for the Aetna deal from five states - including New York and California - are imminent. 

Axa: 9M18 Mixed Activity Indicators

Earnings Note: 06 Nov 2018, 10:08 PM ET - Axa released mixed activity indicators for the first nine months of 2018. XL was acquired on 12 September 2018 but will be fully consolidated from 1 October 2018. Nat cat claims are relatively minor at group level.

US Employment: Almost Full, Keeps Eating

Strategy Analysis: 05 Nov 2018, 5:16 AM ET - Employment growth bounced back in October with a strong 250k print.  Wage growth hit a new high, but its gradual acceleration coupled with the strong job growth trend makes us question what full employment looks like.

US Productivity Is A Small Offset To Labor Costs

Sovereign Analysis: 02 Nov 2018, 5:38 AM ET - We break down 2 separate pieces of 3Q economic data that show while labor costs continue to rise, controlling for productivity growth gives a rosier picture. 

October 2018 US Company Recommendation Changes

US Company Recommendation Changes: 31 Oct 2018, 10:03 PM ET - Our monthly report provides executive summaries for the twenty-eight company recommendation changes made on North American companies during the month of October.
Focused

Aetna 3Q18: NY The Last Major Regulatory Hurdle

Earnings Note: 30 Oct 2018, 10:02 AM ET - AET reported $977 mn of operating profits, up from $814 mn a year ago, thanks to strong Medicare Advantage growth and the impact of corporate tax reform. Meanwhile, NY remains the last major regulatory hurdle.

PCE Deflator: Steady in September

Worth Watching: 29 Oct 2018, 10:19 PM ET - PCE Deflator: The September income & outlays report showed another mild month for consumer price gains. The headline all-items index increased by 0.1% MoM, bringing the YoY rate to 2.0%, down from its July peak of 2.3%. The core PCE deflator (e ..

US GDP: Consumers Show Up Again

Strategy Analysis: 29 Oct 2018, 5:06 AM ET - 3Q US GDP beat expectations with a strong performance by the US consumer, inventory growth, and government spending offsetting weak trade, residential investment, and capex.
Focused

Healthcare: ACA Market May be Further Pressured

Sector Outlook: 25 Oct 2018, 4:19 AM ET - The White House continues to amend the ACA and intends to give States the option of allowing insurers to provide less comprehensive coverage at a lower cost. For individuals who remain in ACA-compliant plans, this may mean higher premiums.

Global Insurance Rendez-Vous: Fiduciary Rule Redux

Global Insurance Rendez-Vous: 24 Oct 2018, 10:07 PM ET - The DOL and the SEC are revisiting the fiduciary rule in the near future. The initial version of the rule, produced under the Obama administration, caused significant headaches for insurers and a significant decline in annuity sales.

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